中国安全科学学报 ›› 2020, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (11): 134-140.doi: 10.16265/j.cnki.issn 1003-3033.2020.11.020

• 公共安全 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于改进组合赋权法的建筑火灾保险费率研究

马爱迪, 岳忠 副教授, 孙宝平, 陈大伟 副教授   

  1. 首都经济贸易大学 管理工程学院,北京 100071
  • 收稿日期:2020-08-25 修回日期:2020-10-15 出版日期:2020-11-28 发布日期:2021-07-15
  • 作者简介:马爱迪 (1996—),女,内蒙古赤峰人,硕士研究生,研究方向为安全管理。E-mail:maaidi0228@163.com。
  • 基金资助:
    北京市教育委员会科技计划项目(KM202010038002);国家重点研发项目(2017YFC0805400)。

Research on building fire insurance premium rate based on improved combination weighting method

MA Aidi, YUE Zhong, SUN Baoping, CHEN Dawei   

  1. School of Management Engineering, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100071, China
  • Received:2020-08-25 Revised:2020-10-15 Online:2020-11-28 Published:2021-07-15

摘要: 为解决我国公共建筑火灾风险指标权重不明,火灾保险费率厘定方法粗糙的问题,综合考虑投保标的结构设计、火灾风险管理等因素,建立一个有针对性的公共建筑火灾风险评估模型;利用理想点理论改进组合赋权方法,将评估得到的建筑火灾危险性系数,结合现代公共建筑特点和火灾保险费率计算原理进行费率厘定;以北京3家大型百货商场为例,与线性加权法和乘法归一法2种赋权方法进行对比计算。结果表明:改进组合赋权方法有效削弱了现有赋权方法主观判定系数的不确定性,使主客观权重与理想点间的距离最小,适用于改进现有的火灾保险费率精算方法,使标的保费计算结果和其火灾风险状况相一致。

关键词: 组合赋权法, 公共建筑火灾, 保险费率厘定, 风险评价, 保费精算

Abstract: In order to address problems of unknown fire risk index weight and rough fire insurance rate determination method for public buildings in China, a targeted fire risk assessment model was established considering factors such as structural design of insured subjects and fire risk management. Secondly, ideal point theory was utilized to improve combination weighting method, and fire insurance premium rates were determined by using assessed fire risk coefficients based on characteristics of modern public buildings and calculation principle of the rates. Finally, with 3 large department stores in Beijing as an example, improved method was compared with linear weighted and multiplication normalization methods before its rate was calculated. The results show that improved combined weighting method effectively reduces uncertainty of existing method in subjective judgment coefficients, and minimizes distance between subjective and objective weights and ideal point. It is suitable for improving existing actuarial methods of fire insurance rates with calculated result of target premium being consistent with its fire risk status.

Key words: combination weighting method, public building fire, premium determination, risk assessment, combination of empowerment, premium actuarial

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